Preseason Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.8#345
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.5#273
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.0#342
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 7.8% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 12.8% 37.0% 12.2%
.500 or above in Conference 38.5% 59.4% 38.0%
Conference Champion 3.1% 9.3% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.4% 4.3% 13.6%
First Four3.3% 6.3% 3.2%
First Round1.6% 5.1% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 48 - 118 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 97   @ DePaul L 62-83 2%    
  Nov 09, 2019 223   @ Louisiana Monroe L 63-76 10%    
  Nov 16, 2019 26   @ Memphis L 63-92 0.4%   
  Nov 19, 2019 22   @ North Carolina St. L 61-90 0.4%   
  Nov 27, 2019 220   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-77 11%    
  Dec 16, 2019 242   @ Tulane L 65-77 14%    
  Dec 29, 2019 128   @ Santa Clara L 58-77 5%    
  Jan 04, 2020 277   @ Prairie View L 67-77 20%    
  Jan 06, 2020 265   @ Texas Southern L 73-84 18%    
  Jan 11, 2020 303   Jackson St. L 62-65 42%    
  Jan 13, 2020 269   Grambling St. L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 353   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 20, 2020 343   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63-66 39%    
  Jan 25, 2020 352   Alabama A&M W 67-60 71%    
  Jan 27, 2020 332   Alabama St. W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 01, 2020 346   @ Southern L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 08, 2020 303   @ Jackson St. L 59-68 24%    
  Feb 10, 2020 269   @ Grambling St. L 64-75 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 353   Mississippi Valley W 73-66 72%    
  Feb 17, 2020 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-63 59%    
  Feb 22, 2020 352   @ Alabama A&M W 64-63 52%    
  Feb 24, 2020 332   @ Alabama St. L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 29, 2020 346   Southern W 67-64 60%    
  Mar 05, 2020 277   Prairie View L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 07, 2020 265   Texas Southern L 76-81 35%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.8 3.0 0.7 0.1 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.9 3.2 0.6 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 3.6 5.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.3 5.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 14.2 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 4.7 4.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.9 3.2 1.1 0.1 11.5 9th
10th 0.4 1.5 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 8.6 10th
Total 0.4 1.5 3.0 5.2 7.2 9.7 11.0 11.9 11.7 10.3 8.8 7.0 5.3 3.4 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.7% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 77.6% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 48.1% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 20.8% 20.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 54.2% 54.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
16-2 0.5% 37.0% 37.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3
15-3 1.0% 29.2% 29.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 0.7
14-4 1.9% 19.0% 19.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.5
13-5 3.4% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 3.0
12-6 5.3% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.5 4.8
11-7 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.5 6.6
10-8 8.8% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.4 8.4
9-9 10.3% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 10.0
8-10 11.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 11.4
7-11 11.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.8
6-12 11.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
4-14 7.2% 7.2
3-15 5.2% 5.2
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%